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The formal practice of forecasting and planning (F&P) has risen to prominence within a few decades and now receives considerable attention from both academics and practitioners. This paper explicitly recognizes the nature of F&P as future-oriented decision making activities and, as such, their...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10009204170
By focussing on issues concerning precise relative performance of the human and experimental teams, Ross obscures the major, and a priori surprising result of our study. This is that the experimental teams were not all dominated by the human teams. Replication is the appropriate way to...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10009214402
No abstract available.
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On p. 673, we stated that we had been refused permission to replicate our study using the Markstrat game (Hogarth & Makridakis [Hogarth, R. M., S. Makridakis. 1981. The value of decision making in a complex environment: an experimental approach. Management Sci. 27(1) 93--107.]) and questioned...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10009197544
Are the costs of time and effort spent on analyzing decisions outweighed by benefits? This issue was examined in the context of a competitive business game where human teams were pitted against two kinds of simple-minded arbitrary decision rules: one where rules were applied consistently...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10009197672
Forecasts are crucial for practically all economic and business decisions. However, there is a mounting body of empirical evidence showing that accurate forecasting in the economic and business world is usually not possible. In addition, there is huge uncertainty, as practically all economic and...
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