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This paper introduces a new regression model - Markov-switching mixed data sampling (MS-MIDAS) - that incorporates regime changes in the parameters of the mixed data sampling (MIDAS) models and allows for the use of mixed-frequency data in Markov-switching models. After a discussion of...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10008868072
The development of models for variables sampled at different frequencies has attracted substantial interest in the recent econometric literature. In this paper we provide an overview of the most common techniques, including bridge equations, MIxed DAta Sampling (MIDAS) models, mixed frequency...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10010610582
This paper introduces a new regression model - Markov-switching mixed data sampling (MS-MIDAS) - that incorporates regime changes in the parameters of the mixed data sampling (MIDAS) models and allows for the use of mixed-frequency data in Markov-switching models. After a discussion of...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10008854481
The development of models for variables sampled at di¤erent frequencies has attracted substantial interest in the recent econometric literature. In this paper we provide an overview of the most common techniques, including bridge equations, MIxed DAta Sampling (MIDAS) models, mixed frequency...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10010835415
frequency information. We compare this model with two versions of the mixed frequency VAR, which so far had been only applied to … implement a simulation study to evaluate the relative forecasting ability of the alternative models in finite samples. Finally …, we conduct several empirical applications to assess the relevance of quarterly survey data for forecasting a set of …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012143869
This paper introduces regime switching parameters in the Mixed-Frequency VAR model. We first discuss estimation and … inference for Markov-switching Mixed-Frequency VAR (MSMF-VAR) models. Next, we assess the finite sample performance of the … technique in Monte-Carlo experiments. Finally, the MSMF-VAR model is applied to predict GDP growth and business cycle turning …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10011083823
nowcasting Euro area and US GDP using monthly indicators. …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10011084496
. Our empirical findings show that the factor estimation methods don't differ much with respect to nowcasting accuracy …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10010295871
paper, we compare their performance in a relevant case for policy making, i.e., nowcasting and forecasting quarterly GDP …This paper compares the mixed-data sampling (MIDAS) and mixed-frequency VAR (MF-VAR) approaches to model speci … exponential lag polynomials for the coe¢ cients, whereas MF-VAR does not restrict the dynamics and therefore can suffer from the …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10010298754
paper, we compare their performance in a relevant case for policy making, i.e., nowcasting and forecasting quarterly GDP …This paper compares the mixed-data sampling (MIDAS) and mixed-frequency VAR (MF-VAR) approaches to model specification … exponential lag polynomials for the coefficients, whereas MF-VAR does not restrict the dynamics and therefore can suffer from the …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10008528546