Showing 1 - 10 of 30
En este artículo se presenta un nuevo enfoque para la estimación de modelos de factores de gran dimensión cuyas cargas de factores están sujetas a cambios markovianos de régimen. Dicho enfoque consiste en una extensión del filtro de regresión de tres pasos lineal a casos en los cuales los...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012530589
This paper introduces a new regression model - Markov-switching mixed data sampling (MS-MIDAS) - that incorporates regime changes in the parameters of the mixed data sampling (MIDAS) models and allows for the use of mixed-frequency data in Markov-switching models. After a discussion of...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10008868072
empirically. In this paper, we compare their performances in a case which is relevant for policy making, namely nowcasting and …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10011051460
In this paper we explore the forecasting performances of methods based on a pre-selection of monthly indicators from large panels of time series. After a preliminary data reduction step based on different shrinkage techniques, we compare the accuracy of principal components forecasts with that...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10011117247
This paper introduces regime switching parameters in the Mixed-Frequency VAR model. We first discuss estimation and inference for Markov-switching Mixed-Frequency VAR (MSMF-VAR) models. Next, we assess the finite sample performance of the technique in Monte-Carlo experiments. Finally, the...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10011083823
nowcasting Euro area and US GDP using monthly indicators. …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10011084496
In this paper we develop a mixed frequency dynamic factor model featuring stochastic shifts in the volatility of both the latent common factor and the idiosyncratic components. We take a Bayesian perspective and derive a Gibbs sampler to obtain the posterior density of the model parameters. This...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10011099722
The development of models for variables sampled at different frequencies has attracted substantial interest in the recent econometric literature. In this paper we provide an overview of the most common techniques, including bridge equations, MIxed DAta Sampling (MIDAS) models, mixed frequency...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10010610582
This paper introduces a new regression model - Markov-switching mixed data sampling (MS-MIDAS) - that incorporates regime changes in the parameters of the mixed data sampling (MIDAS) models and allows for the use of mixed-frequency data in Markov-switching models. After a discussion of...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10008854481
-VAR) models. We discuss their performances for nowcasting the quarterly growth rate of the Euro area GDP and its components, using …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10010786457