[eng] Forecaster Heterogeneity: An Investigation of the Expectations of Foreign Exchange Forecasters . Ronald MacDonald and Ian W. Marsh . Adatabase of individual forecasters' exchange rate predictions is analysed. We demonstrate that only a small subgroup of forecasters can be described as...

In this paper we present an investigation of the pressures on the United States to devalue the dollar against the franc and gold in the early 1930s. We calculate monthly time-series of realignment expectations and find that these are well explained by a set of fundamental economic variables. The...

Using an expanded version of the purchasing-power-parity condition we construct simultaneous equation models for three key exchange rates which incorporate meaningful long-run equilibrium relationships and complex short-run dynamics. We show that fully dynamic out-of-sample forecasts from these...