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Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10011998648
This paper attempts to quantify the impact of economic policy uncertainty on overall trade and trade linked to global value chains. Using new data on policy uncertainty for 18 countries and 24 years, it finds a statistically significant negative impact of policy uncertainty on overall trade...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012167789
East Asia, for long the epitome of successful engagement in trade, faces serious challenges: technological change that may threaten the very model of labor intensive industrialization and a backlash against globalization that may reduce access to important markets. A detailed analysis of the...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10011903074
Trade rebounded in 2017, with trade volume growing at 4.3 percent in 2017 - the fastest rate in 6 years. The recovery of trade is not limited to a few regions but is widespread, suggesting that we may be at a turning point. The largest contributions to global trade growth have come from East...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012645268
Global trade growth slowed in 2018 amid a weakening of economic growth in China and the Euro Area and rising trade protectionism. The volume of trade grew by 3.8 percent, down from 5.4 percent in 2017, but has shown signs of reviving in the first quarter of 2019. However, the U.S. tariff...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012646423
East Asia, for long the epitome of successful engagement in trade, faces serious challenges: technological change that may threaten the very model of labor intensive industrialization and a backlash against globalization that may reduce access to important markets. The analysis in this article...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012895806
East Asia, for long the epitome of successful engagement in trade, faces serious challenges: technological change that may threaten the very model of labor intensive industrialization and a backlash against globalization that may reduce access to important markets. A detailed analysis of the...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012912297
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012303555
This edition of Global Trade Watch addresses three questions concerning recent trade developments: What is happening? Why? Does it matter? 2016 is the fifth consecutive year of sluggish trade growth and the year with the weakest trade performance since the aftermath of the 2008 global financial...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012248262
Does "infant industry" preferential access durably boost export performance? This paper exploits significant trade …-Fiber Arrangement (MFA) in 2005 is used to assess whether apparel export expansions survived the erosion of preferences. To find a … East Africa the recent export growth was driven by new entrants rather than incumbent firms whose competitiveness might …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012024617