We construct mean-variance optimized currency portfolios and analyze the time- series variation of the conditional Sharpe ratio. Returns, volatility and skewness are predictable. Market timing – i.e., trading more (less) aggressively when the conditional risk-return trade-off is more (less)...

We introduce a covariance and spread (i.e., exchange rate forward discount) adjusted carry factor that prices the cross-section of FX market returns, where many other single and multi-factor models fail. Both the covariance matrix of exchange rate growths and forward discounts contain important...

We study the implications of risk entanglements on international financial (FX) markets. Risk entanglement is a refinement of incomplete markets that some risks in asset markets cannot be singly traded. We show that in FX markets with entangled risks (i) there exist multiple pricing-consistent...

We analyze whether the timing of public information releases affects risk-sharing and pricing in a pure exchange economy. Information releases do not matter if agents have time additive preferences, homogeneous beliefs and access to complete markets. In the case of heterogeneity in agents'...

We completely characterize the fundamental relationship between the exchange rate and the asset pricing in the two denomination currencies involved when markets are incomplete. Assuming arbitrage-free, perfectly integrated, frictionless but potentially incomplete financial markets, the exchange...

We characterize a prominent tradeoff in the timing of public information releases in dynamic competitive economies populated by heterogeneous agents. While early information releases improve the consumption smoothing, they also reduce risk sharing incentives ex-ante. When either financial...

We use principal component analysis on 55 bilateral exchange rates of 11 developed currencies to identify two important global risk sources in FX markets. The risk sources are related to Carry and Dollar but are not spanned by these factors. We estimate the market prices associated with the two...