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The paper examines the relative performance of Stochastic Volatility (SV) and Generalised Autoregressive Conditional … Heteroscedasticity (GARCH) (1,1) models fitted to ten years of daily data for FTSE. As a benchmark, we used the realized volatility (RV … standard volatility models if the simple expedient of using lagged squared demeaned daily returns provides a better RV …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012203997
volatility) associated with financial returns, was the portmanteau statistic for non-causality in variance of Cheng and Ng (1996 … the paper is to derive a simple test for causality in volatility that provides regularity conditions arising from the …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10011556246
volatility) associated with financial returns was the portmanteau statistic for non-causality in the variance of Cheng and Ng … affect the power of the test. The purpose of the paper is to derive a simple test for causality in volatility that provides …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10011654183
The purpose of this paper is to investigate the volatility spillovers between the returns on crude oil futures and oil … be quite low using the CCC model, while the VARMA-GARCH and VARMA-AGARCH models suggest no significant volatility …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10013159693
This paper examines how the size of the rolling window, and the frequency used in moving average (MA) trading strategies, affects financial performance when risk is measured. We use the MA rule for market timing, that is, for when to buy stocks and when to shift to the risk-free rate. The...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10011906234
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10009767006
forecasting, the authors propose a new factor multivariate stochastic volatility (fMSV) model for realized covariance measures …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10010259630
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10009724148
This study examines the conditional volatility and correlation dependency and interdependency for the four major … volatility. These results have become more pervasive when the exchange rate and FFR are included. Monetary policy also has a …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10013155236
Crude oil price volatility has been analyzed extensively for organized spot, forward and futures markets for well over … a decade, and is crucial for forecasting volatility and Value-at-Risk (VaR). There are four major benchmarks in the …-Pacific), which are likely to be highly correlated. This paper analyses the volatility spillover effects across and within the four …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10013159943