This paper computes the occupational shifts required to accommodate structural change initiated by microelectronic-based technical change (MTC) in Canada. Occupational shifts are decomposed into supply side versus those induced by final demand changes. The results are presented for an historical...

In a Malinvaud disequilibrium model we show that along the boundary between Keynesian unemployment and repressed inflation is a continuum of non-Walrasian equilibria. Therefore, if wages are prices adjust according to (Clower-Benassy) effective excess demand function, the rest point will...

This paper presents an extended Keynes-Leontief-type model which is used to compute potential general equilibrium employment and income effects of microelectronic-based technical change in Canada. Alternative adjustment scenarios for adoption are considered. Results indicate that the .56 percent...

Hamilton's (1989) nonlinear Markovian filter is extend to allow state transitions to be duration dependent. Restrictions are imposed on the state transition matrix associated with a T-order Markov system such that the corresponding first-order conditional transition probabilities are functions...

The conditional capital asset pricing model is applied to foreign currency futures prices, covariance risk being measured relative to excess returns from a broadly diversified international portfolio of equities. Positive time-varying risk premia are found in all five currencies tested when the...

This paper analyses a stochastic international growth model with money and country-specific forcing processes for productivity and money growth rates. Monies are required due to cash-in-advance constraints for consumption goods but the liquidity constraints need not be binding for all periods....

Simple general equilibrium growth model are used to analyse non-steady-state dynamic adjustments. Alternative methods of closing the efficiency surface structure result in prescriptive versus descriptive versions. A sequence of models is analysed to illustrate.

This paper computes parametric estimates of a time-varying risk premium model and compares the one-step-ahead forecasts implied by that model with those given by a nonparametric kernel estimator of the conditional mean function. The conditioning information used for the nonparametric analysis is...

This paper carries out a specification analysis of a test relation for the unbiasedness hypothesis using 30-day forward foreign exchange data from France, Italy, Japan, the United Kingdom, and West Germany. The results indicate that econometric problems exist for each country's test equation....

This paper tests the martingale hypothesis for daily data from the Deutschmark/US dollar futures and spot foreign exchange markets. Time-varying volatility of daily price changes is modelled as conditional heteroskedasticity which is a function of recent news or forecast errors, as in the ARCH...