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typically considers either one, or a small selection of variables, prominent within this is the dividend price ratio and … significance arises in variables across these five groups. Of note, price ratios, GDP acceleration, inflation, unemployment and …
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that incorporate information from the long-run stock price/commodity price relationship outperform both the historical mean … models that include the dividend yield and short term interest rates but not the stock/commodity price ratio …
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We forecast quarterly US stock returns using eighteen predictor variables both individually and in multivariate regressions, with the former also used in forecast combinations. Using rolling and recursive approaches, we consider a range of statistical and economic evaluation measures. We...
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