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), inflation and money supply growth, while oft studied, is one that remains unclear. We argue that the nature of the relation …. Notably, a predominantly negative correlation with bond yields and inflation becomes positive, while the opposite is true for … power switches temporarily to positive around economic shocks. This suggests that higher yields, inflation and money growth …
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This paper argues that the nature of stock return predictability varies with the level of inflation. We contend that … the nature of relations between economic variables and returns differs according to the level of inflation, due to … different economic risk implications. An increase in low level inflation may signal improving economic conditions and lower …
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This paper examines the ability of bond and stock markets to predict subsequent GDP growth over a range of horizons for twelve international countries. The results, using linear, probit, time- and regime-varying in-sample regressions and out-of-sample forecasting, confirm the view that both...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012891593
This paper examines the cointegrating relationships between UK quarterly stock prices, stock price fundamentals, GDP and consumption. Evidence reported supports cointegration between these four-variables, with results indicating three cointegrating vectors, or a single common stochastic trend....
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