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Understanding the behaviour of the equity yield and its relation to the bond yield is important for portfolio managers and those engaged in modelling the interaction between asset classes. During the mid-1900s, the equity yield-which was previously greater than the bond yield-declined, while the...
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We consider whether government bonds, through the term structure, or corporate bonds, through the default yield, provide predictive power for output, consumption and investment growth. Such predictive power will allow policy-makers to use the information as a leading indicator for macroeconomic...
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In this paper we study the three academically prevalent versions of the Log form of the Expectations Hypothesis (LEH) for the long-term zero-coupon treasury bond yields using the level variables and find clear affirmation for one version, general affirmation for the second version and clear...
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