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We systematically examine the comparative predictive performance of a number of alternative linear and non-linear models for stock and bond returns in the G7 countries. Besides Markov switching, threshold autoregressive (TAR), and smooth transition autoregressive (STAR) regime switching...
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This paper examines the ability of different GARCH models to forecast stock return volatility under a range of forecast metrics, including both statistical and economic evaluation. In particular, we are interested in whether wavelet de-noising of the data prior to estimation affects the ability...
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