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This note shows that German real GDP follows a trend-stationary process. Both tests which have trend-stationarity as the alternative hypothesis as well as tests that have it under the null hypothesis prefer the trend-stationary model. Explicit consideration of breaks in the trend is not...
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Macro-stress testing studies often rely on rather short sample periods due to the limited availability of banking data. They may fail to appropriately account for the cyclicality in the interaction between the banking system and macroeconomic developments. In this paper we use a newly...
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Auftriebskräfte für die Konjunktur in Deutschland wieder stärkere Wirkung entfalten. Beschäftigung und Löhne werden wohl weiter … günstig, denn die Zinsen in Deutschland befinden sich auf einem historischen Tiefstand. Ein rasches Anzie-hen der Konjunktur …
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