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expectations equilibria. Equilibria di¤er with respect to the agents?(rational) expectations about future unemployment. We show … that negative shocks to the agents?expectations lead to ?uctuations in vacancies, unemployment, labor productivity and the …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10011150003
The paper develops a model of directed search on the job where transitions of workers between unemployment, employment …. Productivity shocks are found to generate large fluctuations in workers' transitions, unemployment and vacancies when matches are …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10009144872
We study the long-run relation between money, measured by inflation or interest rates, and unemployment. We first … where both money and unemployment are modeled using explicit micro-foundations, integrating and extending recent work in … accounts for some but not that much of trend unemployment — by one measure, about 1/5 of the increase during the stagflation …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10005102079
of unemployment and vacancies to negative shocks to the aggregate productivity of labor. …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10005102084
of unemployment and vacancies to negative shocks to the aggregate productivity of labor. …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10005114426
We revisit the hypothesis that labor market fluctuations are driven by shocks to the discount rate. Using a model in which the UE and the EU rates are endogenous, we show that an increase in the discount rate leads to a decline in both the UE and the EU rates. In the data, though, the UE and EU...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012026394
We develop a theory of endogenous and stochastic fluctuations in economic activity. Individual firms choose to randomize over firing or keeping workers who performed poorly in the past to give them an ex-ante incentive to exert effort. Different firms choose to correlate the outcome of their...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012159036
We study the long-run relation between money, measured by inflation or interest rates, and unemployment. We first … where both money and unemployment are modeled using explicit microfoundations, integrating and extending recent work in … accounts for some but not that much of trend unemployment -- by one measure, about 1/5 of the increase during the stagflation …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10003826999
Over the last century, unemployment, vacancy, job-finding and job-loss rates as well as the Beveridge curve have no … unemployment, vacancies, job-finding and job-loss rates are constant while the search technology improves over time if and only if …-worker match is acceptable leading to a constant job-finding rate, unemployment, etc... Interestingly, under the same conditions …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012919605
We propose a new business cycle theory. Firms need to randomize over firing or keeping workers who have performed poorly in the past, in order to give them an ex-ante incentive to exert effort. Firms have an incentive to coordinate the outcome of their randomizations, as coordination allows them...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10013012277