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A Structural Model of Turnout and Voting in Multiple Elections
Degan, Arianna; Merlo, Antonio - Department of Economics, University of Pennsylvania - 2004
study turnout and voting in U.S. national (presidential and congressional) elections, and structurally estimate the model …In this paper, we propose a unified approach to study participation and voting in multiple elections. The theoretical … framework combines an “uncertain-voter” model of turnout with a spatial model of voting behavior. We apply our framework to …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10005020644
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A Structural Model of Turnout and Voting in Multiple Elections
Degan, Arianna; Merlo, Antonio - Department of Economics, University of Pennsylvania - 2006
turnout and voting in U.S. presidential and congressional elections. We structurally estimate the model using individual …This paper develops a unified approach to study participation and voting in multiple elections. The theoretical setting … combines an “uncertain-voter” model of turnout with a spatial model of voting behavior. We apply our framework to the study of …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10005126679
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Do Citizens Vote Sincerely (If They Vote at All)? Theory and Evidence from U. S. National Elections
Degan, Arianna; Merlo, Antonio - Department of Economics, University of Pennsylvania - 2004
explain observed patterns of participation and voting in U.S. national elections. We propose a unified model of turnout and … voting in presidential and congressional elections with heterogeneous voters. We estimate the model using individual level … turnout. Third, the American electorate has become relatively more polarized over time. …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10005061918
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A Structural Model of Turnout and Voting in Multiple Elections, Fourth Version
Degan, Arianna; Merlo, Antonio - Department of Economics, University of Pennsylvania - 2007
turnout and voting in U.S. presidential and congressional elections. We structurally estimate the model using individual …This paper develops a unified approach to study participation and voting in multiple elections. The theoretical setting … combines an “uncertain-voter” model of turnout with a spatial model of voting behavior. We apply our framework to the study of …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10005109585
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External Validation of Voter Turnout Models by Concealed Parameter Recovery
Merlo, Antonio; Palfrey, Thomas R. - Department of Economics, University of Pennsylvania - 2013
We conduct a model validation analysis of several behavioral models of voter turnout, using laboratory data. We call … different models about the cost of a subsidy to increase turnout. …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10010822900
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A Political Economy Model of Congressional Careers: Supplementary Materiel
Diermeier, Daniel; Keane, Michael; Merlo, Antonio - Department of Economics, University of Pennsylvania - 2004
This paper contains additional details about the model in our paper “A Political Economy Model of Congressional Careers” (Diermeier, Keane and Merlo (2004)), as well as the computational methods we use to solve and estimate the model, and the construction of the data set.
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10005061913
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A Political Economy Model of Congressional Careers
Diermeier, Daniel; Keane, Michael; Merlo, Antonio - Department of Economics, University of Pennsylvania - 2002
Theories in political economy depend critically on assumptions about motivations of politicians. Our analysis starts from the premise that politicians, like other economic agents, are rational individuals who make career decisions by comparing the expected returns of alternative choices. The...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10005109583
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Bicameralism and Government Formation
Merlo, Antonio; Diermeier, Daniel; Eraslan, Hülya - 2004
In this paper we present a structural approach to the study of government formation in multi-party parliamentary democracies. The approach is based on the estimation of a stochastic bargaining model which we use to investigate the effects of specific institutional features of parliamentary...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10011324963
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Identification and estimation of preference distributions when voters are ideological
Merlo, Antonio; de Paula, Áureo - 2015
actual estimation using data from the 1999 European Parliament elections. …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10011445762
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Government Turnover in Parliamentary Democracies
Diermeier, Daniel; Merlo, Antonio - 1998
analysis accounts for the following observed phenomena: (1) Cabinet reshuffles; (2) Cabinet replacements; (3) Early elections …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012236044