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The terms of trade of commodity-exporting countries are directly affected by the large-scale swings of worldwide prices. These terms of trade represent one of the key determinants of the real exchange rates of these economies. By estimating long-term equilibrium exchange rates we can gauge their...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10004992183
Carry-trade strategies which consist of buying forward high-yield currencies tend to generate positive excess returns during long periods of time. Here, we aim at explaining this puzzle by the default risk, which is frequently taken on by investing in high-yield currencies. We empirically test...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10009358500
This paper investigates the links between price returns for 25 commodities and stocks over the period from January 2001 to November 2011, by paying a particular attention to energy raw materials. Relying on the dynamic conditional correlation (DCC) GARCH methodology, we show that the...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10010992390
Carry-trade strategies which consist of buying forward high-yield currencies tend to yield positive excess returns when global financial markets are booming, whereas they generate losses during crises. Firstly, we show that the sovereign default risk, which is taken on by investing in high-yield...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10011048430
The aim of this article is to study and quantify the transmission channels between the American and Mexican stock markets in the aftermath of the subprime crisis. To this end, we use a time-varying transition probability Markov-switching model, in which ?crisis? and ?non-crisis? periods are...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10011187916
This paper investigates the links between price returns for 25 commodities and stocks over the period from January 2001 to November 2011, by paying a particular attention to energy raw materials. Relying on the dynamic conditional correlation (DCC) GARCH methodology, we show that the...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10011039549
This paper investigates the links between price returns for 25 commodities and stocks over the period from January 2001 to November 2011, by paying a particular attention to energy raw materials. Relying on the dynamic conditional correlation (DCC) GARCH methodology, we show that the...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10010604039
This paper investigates the links between price returns for 25 commodities and stocks over the period from January 2001 to November 2011, by paying a particular attention to energy raw materials. Relying on the dynamic conditional correlation (DCC) GARCH methodology, we show that the...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10011265523