Showing 1 - 10 of 52
general equilibrium (DSGE) model in its usual form with full-information rational expectations and compare it with versions …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10013272178
We test the standard New Keynesian (NK) Dynamic Stochastic General Equilibrium (DSGE) model under the condition with … information data revision. All models are tested with the Indirect Inference method, and our test result based on real-time data …. Overall, our findings provide important implications on the modelling of expectation formation in the DSGE framework. …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10013272180
into an open economy DSGE model to investigate the evidence of state-dependence in the UK economy's postwar behaviour. The … model is estimated and tested using the Indirect Inference method and is found to fit the dynamic behaviour of key variables …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10014480472
We use available methods for testing macro models to evaluate a model of China over the period from Deng Xiaoping's reforms up until the crisis period. Bayesian ranking methods are heavily influenced by controversial priors on the degree of price/wage rigidity. When the overall models are tested...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10010504443
Out-of-sample forecasting tests of DSGE models against time-series benchmarks such as an unrestricted VAR are … on a widely-used DSGE model to investigate the power of these tests. We find that in specification testing they have weak … power relative to an in-sample indirect inference test; this implies that a DSGE model may be badly mis-specified and still …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10010504446
Using Monte Carlo experiments, we examine the performance of indirect inference tests of DSGE models in small samples …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10010504468
In this paper we investigate the role of news shocks in aggregate fluctuations by comparing the empirical performance of models with and without the feature of the news shocks. We found a trivial difference between the two models. That is, the model with news shocks explains the variation as...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10011787141
A number of studies have found that news shocks account for a large part of the aggregate fluctuations of the main macroeconomic variables.We show that when taking rational expectations into consideration there is a limit on the size of the variance of the news shocks,which has not been...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10011787165
We review the methods used in many papers to evaluate DSGE models by comparing their simulated moments and other …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10010288773
We examine a two country model of the EU and the US. Each has a small sector of the labour and product markets in which there is wage/price rigidity, but otherwise enjoys flexible wages and prices with a one quarter information lag. Using a VAR to represent the data, we find the model as a whole...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10010288793