We estimate the short run effects of Brexit border disruption on the UK economy. We estimate a structural VAR for the … UK where Brexit effects are identified by the dates of Brexit events, the referendum and the exit from the single market …. We find evidence of short run effects of Brexit: temporary effects on GDP, exports and imports (slightly negative),and on …

We look for statistically significant effects of Brexit events in UK data relationships. We find evidence of trade … disruption by Brexit departure from the single EU market, much as we would expect. However, with investment, we find no … statistically significant effects of Brexit. With GDP, inflation and interest rates we find some positive effects due to the fall in …