We study how domestic and global output gaps affect CPI inflation. We use a New-Keynesian Phillips curve framework …1-2017Q4 period. We find broadly that both global and domestic output gaps are significant drivers of inflation both in … output gaps on inflation. …

This paper analyses the determinants of short-term inflation expectations based on surveys of professionals, using … dynamic cross-country panel estimation for a large number of 34 OECD economies. We find that food consumer price inflation and … depreciations of the domestic exchange rate have significant positive effects on professionals' survey-based inflation expectations …

We study the effects of professionals’ survey-based inflation expectations on inflation for a large number of 36 OECD … economies, using dynamic cross-country panel estimation of New-Keynesian Phillips curves. We find that inflation expectations … have a significantly positive effect on inflation. We also find that the effect of inflation expectations on inflation is …

We provide novel systematic cross-country evidence that the link between domestic labour markets and CPI inflation has … domestic labour cost changes to core CPI inflation decreased from 0.25 in the 1980s to just 0.02 in the 2010s, while the …

We study the effects of globalisation on the slope of the New Keynesian Phillips curve for CPI inflation, based on a … generally has a significant positive effect on inflation, but that this effect decreases as integration in the global economy …

We study how carbon pricing has affected inflation ex-post, using dynamic panel estimation of New-Keynesian Phillips … carbon taxes. We find that an increase in prices of ETS by $10 per ton of CO2 equivalents increases energy CPI inflation by 0 ….8 percentage points (pp), and headline inflation by 0.08pp, but has no significant effects on food and core CPI inflation. We also …

We study how precipitation has affected food consumer price inflation (CPI), using dynamic panel estimation of food CPI …. We allow for nonlinear effects of precipitation on food CPI inflation, and also control for possible nonlinear effects of … temperature. We find that precipitation has significant nonlinear effects on food CPI inflation. The coefficient of food CPI …

This paper studies exchange rate pass-through to food and energy consumer price inflation and its dependence on the … inflation environment using cross-country panel estimation of Phillips curves. It considers a large panel of OECD member and … inflation and also significant for food CPI inflation. A 10% depreciation in the exchange rate leads to an increase in energy …