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This paper shows that in ation in industrialized countries is largely a global phenomenon. First, the inflation rates … variance share that is associated with Global Inflation is not only due to the trend components of inflation (up from 1960 to … comovement of inflation comes largely from common shocks. Global Inflation is a function of real developments at short horizons …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10003774087
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10003353821
associated to Global Inflation is not only due to the trend components of inflation (up from 1960 to 1980 and down thereafter …) but also to fluctuations at business cycle frequencies. Second, Global Inflation is, consistently with standard models of … inflation, a function of real developments at short horizons and monetary developments at longer horizons. Third, there is a …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10003485002
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10003487851
inflation series of the euro area CPI translates into the slow adjustment of euro area aggregate inflation. We first estimate a … dynamic factor model for 404 inflation sub-indices of the euro area CPI. This allows to decompose the dynamics of inflation … the overall variance of the 404 disaggregate inflation series, is the main driver of aggregate dynamics. In addition, the …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10003422813
An important stylized fact to emerge from the VAR estimates is that exogenous monetary policy shocks (also labelled unsystematic monetary policy) have a delayed, persistent, hump shaped effect on in.ation. I argue that this empirical pattern is fragile. In particular it disappears when one...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10003230317
This paper shows that inflation in industrialized countries is largely a global phenomenon. First, inflations of (22 … associated to Global Inflation is not only due to the trend components of inflation (up from 1960 to 1980 and down thereafter …) but also to fluctuations at business cycle frequencies. Second, Global Inflation is, consistently with standard models of …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10003162272
In most OECD countries, we cannot reject up to three breaks in the mean of inflation: one break in the late 1960's … phenomena. We also show that ignoring breaks in the mean of inflation clearly lead to overrate inflation persistence in standard … bi-variate models of inflation. The response of inflation to shocks in these models is markedly faster with breaks than …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10002817410
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012002044
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10000890127