The argument that is put forward in this paper is that failure to represent stochastic trend and stochastic seasonality in an AIDS model leads to a misspecified and possibly structurally unstable model. This proposition is verified by estimating an AIDS model of the demand for alcoholic...

The exchange rate of the Kuwaiti dinar against the Japanese yen is modelled in terms of the activities of fundamentalists and technicians as well as the effect of the exchange rate arrangement. The results show that market forces, as represented by the activities of traders, play a role in the...