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The paper investigates the macroeconomic and financial effects of oil prices shocks in the euro area since its creation in 1999, with a special focus on the recent slump. The analysis is carried out episode by episode, within a time-varying parameter framework, consistent with the view that "not...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10011451685
an IGARCH process. By means of a new dynamic conditional correlation model (SP-DCC), we finally document the presence of … time-varying conditional correlations relating temperature anomalies across various zones and SOI. The correlation pattern …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10011614201
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This paper proposes a three-step estimation strategy for dynamic conditional correlation models. In the first step … usual normalization. In the third step, the two-step conditional covariance and correlation matrices are regularized by … model. This yields the final, third step smoothed estimate of the conditional covariance and correlation matrices. Due to …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012899132
Concurrent with the rapid development of the market for catastrophe (cat) bonds, a steady decline in their risk premia has been observed. Whether the latter trend is consistent with the evolution of natural disasters risk is an open question. Indeed, a large share of outstanding risk capital in...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10011794444
The paper introduces a new simple semiparametric estimator of the conditional variance covariance and correlation … matrix (SP-DCC). While sharing a similar sequential approach to existing dynamic conditional correlation (DCC) methods, SP …-DCC has the advantage of not requiring the direct parameterization of the conditional covariance or correlation processes …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10013010492
A new approach to the modelling of common components in long memory processes is introduced. The approach is based on a two-step procedure relying on Fourier transform methods (first step) and principal components analysis (second step). Differently from other available methods, it allows the...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012754071
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