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This paper analyzes the effort allocation choices of incumbent politicians when voters are uncertain about politician preferences. There is a pervasive incentive to "posture" by over-providing effort to pursue divisive policies, even if all voters would strictly prefer to have a consensus policy...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012457246
Much literature on political behaviour treats politicians as motivated by re‐election, choosing actions to signal their … types to voters. We identify a novel implication of incumbent signalling. Because incumbents only care about clearing a re‐election … hurdle, signals will tend to cluster just above the threshold needed for re‐election. This generates a skew distribution of …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10014144826
This paper analyzes the effort allocation choices of incumbent politicians when voters are uncertain about politician preferences. There is a pervasive incentive to "posture" by over-providing effort to pursue divisive policies, even if all voters would strictly prefer to have a consensus policy...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10013018308
formation may occur before and after elections, and the expected payoffs from the after-election majority game affect incentives …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10014207120
We evaluate how traditional parties may respond to populist parties on issues that are particularly fitting for populist messages. The testing ground is the 2020 Italian referendum on the reduction of members of Parliament. We implement a large-scale field experiment, with almost one million...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10013255874