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An informed advisor wishes to convey her valuable information to an uninformed decision maker with identical preferences. Thus she has a current incentive to truthfully reveal her information. But if the decision maker thinks that the advisor might be biased in favor of one decision and the...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10014134279
The zero lower bound causes bias in the estimation of linear models. A common solution seen throughout the literature … is to utilize nonlinear models instead. But if said bias were analytically tractable, one could also retain linear …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10013298238
The zero lower bound causes bias in the estimation of linear models. A common solution seen throughout the literature … is to utilize nonlinear models instead. But if said bias were analytically tractable, one could also retain linear …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10013298239
Some private-monitoring games, that is, games with no public histories, can have histories that are almost public. These games are the natural result of perturbing public monitoring games towards private monitoring. We explore the extent to which it is possible to coordinate continuation play in...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10011702996
A social choice function is robustly implementable if there is a mechanism under which the process of iteratively eliminating strictly dominated messages leads to outcomes that agree with the social choice function for all beliefs at every type profile. In an interdependent value environment...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012765273
FocusThe paper examines the relationship between monetary policy and market prices through the lens of central bank communication. Central bankers use forward guidance to steer market expectations of future monetary policy moves. At the same time, they rely on market prices to gauge the likely...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012929426
We describe a methodology for making counterfactual predictions when the information held by strategic agents is a latent parameter. The analyst observes behavior which is rationalized by a Bayesian model in which agents maximize expected utility, given partial and differential information...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012892592
We describe a methodology for making counterfactual predictions when the information held by strategic agents is a latent parameter. The analyst observes behavior which is rationalized by a Bayesian model in which agents maximize expected utility given partial and differential information about...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012893994