Using logit-based financial statement analysis, Ou and Penman estimate an earnings predictor (Pr) that also predicts returns. We develop a forecasting model that purges measurement error (i.e., expected earnings) from the Ou and Penman proxy for the market's unexpected earnings. If market...

This paper develops a taxonomy of research examining the role of financial analysts in capital markets. The paper builds on the perspectives provided by Schipper [Schipper, K. (1991). Analysts' forecasts. Accounting Horizons, 5, 105-131] and Brown [Brown, L. (1993). Earnings forecasting...

type="main" xml:id="acfi12012-abs-0001" <title type="main">Abstract</title> <p>We investigate how the market's subjective estimates of autocorrelation in quarterly earnings vary with objective time-series estimates. Our results suggest that investors increasingly underestimate the correlation as the autocorrelation level...</p>