Showing 1 - 10 of 105
inflation during the 1970s relative to the recent past. The forecast error variance of the real exchange rate is explained …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10014197083
accounting for both stochastic volatility and Student's t-distributed disturbances may lead to improved forecast accuracy …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10013021982
This paper re-examines the evolution of the US monetary transmission mechanism using an empirical framework that incorporates substantially more information than the standard tri-variate VAR model used in most previous studies. In particular, we employ an extended version of a factor-augmented...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10013136459
This paper examines how the interaction between inflation expectations and nominal and real macroeconomic variables has evolved for the United Kingdom over the post-WWII period until 2007. We model time-variation through a Markov-switching structural vector autoregressive framework with variants...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10013142669
these shocks to the forecast error variance of these variables is estimated to be small …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10013118954
A growing literature has documented changes to the dynamics of key macroeconomic variables in industrialized countries and highlighted the possibility that these variables may react differently to structural shocks over time. However, existing empirical work on the international transmission of...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10013124529
Changes in monetary policy and shifts in dynamics of the macroeconomy are typically described using empirical models that only include a limited amount of information. Examples of such models include time-varying vector autoregressions that are estimated using output growth, inflation and a...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10013145342
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10014436864
This paper uses administrative labour market data from Czechia to investigate the heterogeneous effects of technology shocks. Using a FAVAR, the shock is identified using medium run restrictions à la Uhlig (2004b). Workers on low wages reduce their hours in response to the shock, while the...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10015166958
This paper uses a time-varying Factor Augmented VAR to investigate the evolving transmission of monetary policy and demand shocks in the UK. Simultaneous estimation of time-varying impulse responses of a large set of macroeconomic variables and disaggregated prices suggest that the response of...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10013128262