The financial activity index (FAIX) introduced in this paper is a selection of financial indicators that borrow from prior literature on early bubble warnings and are particularly adept at explaining the bubble occurred in Japan starting in the 1980s. Our index comprises 10 financial indicators...

This paper introduces the Financial Macro-econometric Model (FMM) being developed by the Bank of Japan. The FMM is a medium-sized structural model comprising two sectors: a financial sector and a macroeconomic sector. It permits the quantitative analysis of various phenomena created by the...

The purpose of this paper is to analyze the leverage ratio requirement as currently considered by the Basel Committee on Banking Supervision from both theoretical and empirical perspectives. The key concept in this paper is the asset quality index, which is obtained by dividing the risk-based...

This paper introduces financial cycle indexes and uses them in an early warning exercise. The indexes are based on the traditional theory of business cycles. Juglar cycles are deduced from a number of financial indicators, categorized as leading and lagging indicators, and aggregated into...

This paper introduces financial cycle indexes and uses them in an early warning exercise. The indexes are based on the traditional theory of business cycles. Juglar cycles are deduced from a number of financial indicators, categorized as leading and lagging indicators, and aggregated into...

The purpose of this paper is to analyze the leverage ratio requirement as currently considered by the Basel Committee on Banking Supervision from both theoretical and empirical perspectives. The key concept in this paper is the asset quality index, which is obtained by dividing the risk-based...