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Scoring rules, generalized entropy, and utility maximization

Jose, Victor Richmond R. (contributor); … - 2006

Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10003768106

Sensitivity to distance and baseline distributions in forecast evaluation

Jose, Victor Richmond R.; Nau, Robert F.; Winkler, Robert L. - In: Management science : journal of the Institute for … 55 (2009) 4, pp. 582-590

Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10003859225

Sensitivity to Distance and Baseline Distributions in Forecast Evaluation

Jose, Victor Richmond R.; Nau, Robert F.; Winkler, Robert L. - In: Management Science 55 (2009) 4, pp. 582-590

Scoring rules can provide incentives for truthful reporting of probabilities and evaluation measures for the probabilities after the events of interest are observed. Often the space of events is ordered and an evaluation relative to some baseline distribution is desired. Scoring rules typically...

Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10009218077

Scoring Rules, Generalized Entropy, and Utility Maximization

Jose, Victor Richmond R.; Nau, Robert F.; Winkler, Robert L. - In: Operations research : the journal of the Operations … 56 (2008) 5, pp. 1146-1157

Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10008145139

Sensitivity to Distance and Baseline Distributions in Forecast Evaluation

Jose, Victor Richmond R.; Nau, Robert F.; Winkler, Robert L. - In: Management science : journal of the Institute for … 55 (2009) 4, pp. 582-590

Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10008239001