Sustainability of public finances requires a long-term balance of revenues and expenditures of the state budget. The strong dependence of tax revenues from commodity exports in the face of major price fluctuations on them makes the problem of maintaining the balance of income and expenditure of...

In this paper, we will construct a simulation and forecast of the main parameters of the Russian federal budget. In particular, we will describe the general scheme of prediction and analysis of statistical data used in the calculations. Next series will be tested for stationarity and...

Analysis of the dynamics of the main parameters of the federal budget in 2005-2007 and in 2008-2009 shows that a significant part of the changes of these parameters is explained by the state of the world's foreign economic conditions, while the identification of stable relationships between the...