Showing 1 - 10 of 124
We examine forecasting performance of the recent fractionally cointegrated vector autoregressive (FCVAR) model. The …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10011380816
futures markets, the fractional model is found to be superior in terms of in-sample fit and also out-of-sample forecasting …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10011380833
We examine forecasting performance of the recent fractionally cointegrated vector autoregressive (FCVAR) model. The …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10011279787
futures markets, the fractional model is found to be superior in terms of in-sample fit and also out-of-sample forecasting …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10010464770
futures markets, the fractional model is found to be superior in terms of in-sample fit and also out-of-sample forecasting …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10011147853
In a recent paper Hualde and Robinson (2011) establish consistency and asymptotic normality for conditional sum-of-squares estimators, which are equivalent to conditional quasi-maximum likelihood estimators, in parametric fractional time series models driven by conditionally homoskedastic...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10011380815
This manual describes the usage of the accompanying freely available Matlab program for estimation and testing in the fractionally cointegrated vector autoregressive (FCVAR) model. This program replaces an earlier Matlab program by Nielsen and Morin (2014), and although the present Matlab...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10011380827
We consider truncated (or conditional) sum of squares estimation of a parametric model composed of a fractional time series and an additive generalized polynomial trend. Both the memory parameter, which characterizes the behaviour of the stochastic component of the model, and the exponent...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10011583219
We consider estimation and inference in fractionally integrated time series models driven by shocks which can display conditional and unconditional heteroskedasticity of unknown form. Although the standard conditional sum-of-squares (CSS) estimator remains consistent and asymptotically normal in...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10011939441
We consider truncated (or conditional) sum-of-squares estimation of a parametric fractional time series model with an additive deterministic structure. The latter consists of both a drift term and a generalized power law trend. The memory parameter of the stochastic component and the power...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012670894