Showing 1 - 10 of 124
We examine forecasting performance of the recent fractionally cointegrated vector autoregressive (FCVAR) model. The …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10011380816
futures markets, the fractional model is found to be superior in terms of in-sample fit and also out-of-sample forecasting …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10011380833
futures markets, the fractional model is found to be superior in terms of in-sample fit and also out-of-sample forecasting …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10011147853
futures markets, the fractional model is found to be superior in terms of in-sample fit and also out-of-sample forecasting …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10010464770
We examine forecasting performance of the recent fractionally cointegrated vector autoregressive (FCVAR) model. The …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10011279787
In a recent paper Hualde and Robinson (2011) establish consistency and asymptotic normality for conditional sum-of-squares estimators, which are equivalent to conditional quasi-maximum likelihood estimators, in parametric fractional time series models driven by conditionally homoskedastic...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10011380815
This manual describes the usage of the accompanying freely available Matlab program for estimation and testing in the fractionally cointegrated vector autoregressive (FCVAR) model. This program replaces an earlier Matlab program by Nielsen and Morin (2014), and although the present Matlab...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10011380827
We consider estimation and inference in fractionally integrated time series models driven by shocks which can display conditional and unconditional heteroskedasticity of unknown form. Although the standard conditional sum-of-squares (CSS) estimator remains consistent and asymptotically normal in...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10011939441
This paper provides an exact algorithm for efficient computation of the time series of conditional variances, and hence the likelihood function, of models that have an ARCH(É) representation. This class of models includes, e.g., the fractionally integrated generalized autoregressive conditional...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012431068
We study large-sample properties of likelihood ratio tests of the unit root hypothesis in an autoregressive model of arbitrary, finite order. Earlier research on this testing problem has developed likelihood ratio tests in the autoregressive model of order one, but resorted to a plug-in approach...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012431072