Suppose that an economic agent is (1|ƒÃ)~100% certain that uncertainty she faces is characterized by a particular probability measure, but that she has a fear that, with ƒÃ~100% chance, her conviction is completely wrong and she is left perfectly ignorant about the true measure in the...

A model of self-feeding fear is presented. Suppose that an economic agent is (1-ƒÃ)~100% certain that uncertainty she faces is characterized by a particular probability measure, but that she has a fear that, with ƒÃ~100% chance, her conviction is completely wrong and she is left perfectly...

This paper investigates whether or not the natural selection mechanism (NSM) of economic Darwinism works in severe recessions. Although standard firm models imply the importance of NSM in an economy by showing firm's rational behavior on entry, surviv-ing, and exit leads to macro-level TFP...

In contrast to the traditional model of uncertainty, where the uncertainty is characterized by a single distribution function that a decision maker faces, the Knightian-uncertainty approach characterizes it as a set of distributions rather than a single one. Hence, learning in the context of...

When firms decide about irreversible investment, they may not have perfect confidence about their perceived probability measure describing future uncertainty. They may think other probability measures perturbed from the original one are also probable. Uncertainty characterized by not a single...

This paper investigates the nature and magnitude of distortion in land price information publicly available in Japan, especially in the Published Land Price of the Japanese Government. After examining characteristics of various land price information in Japan, we construct hedonic price indexes...

Automobile distribution has undergone a drastic change in recent years both in Japan and the United States, because of so-called "market globalization" and "digital/network revolution." The purpose of this paper is to provide an analytic framework of this change and to apply it to Japan and the...

Productivity convergence among countries has been investigated extensively with mixed results. This paper extends the analysis to the firm level to shed light on the debate of convergence or non-convergence. We find productivity convergence among firms widely in Japan, in both manufacturing...

The cost of imperfect information is estimated in the real estate market of resale condominiums in central Tokyo by using a new, comprehensive data set of resale condominium transactions. The results suggest a substantial cost. Specifically, if information were perfectly available and marketing...

This paper examines the direction and the magnitude of bias in the technological progress measurement caused by imperfect competition and fixed costs. We show that imperfect competition coupled with fixed costs is likely to make the traditional measurement of technological progress biased. The...