This work develops and estimates a three-factor term structure model with explicit sentiment factors in a period including the global financial crisis, where market confidence was said to erode considerably. It utilizes a large text data of real time, relatively high-frequency market news and...

This paper provides a time series analysis of the Bank of Japan (BOJ)'s ETF and REIT purchase program. The program is a part of the BOJ's unconventional monetary policy and has strengthened since the Quantitative and Qualitative Easing (QQE) in April 2013. To the best of our knowledge, the...

Suppose that an economic agent is (1|ƒÃ)~100% certain that uncertainty she faces is characterized by a particular probability measure, but that she has a fear that, with ƒÃ~100% chance, her conviction is completely wrong and she is left perfectly ignorant about the true measure in the...

A model of self-feeding fear is presented. Suppose that an economic agent is (1-ƒÃ)~100% certain that uncertainty she faces is characterized by a particular probability measure, but that she has a fear that, with ƒÃ~100% chance, her conviction is completely wrong and she is left perfectly...

This paper investigates whether or not the natural selection mechanism (NSM) of economic Darwinism works in severe recessions. Although standard firm models imply the importance of NSM in an economy by showing firm's rational behavior on entry, surviv-ing, and exit leads to macro-level TFP...

In contrast to the traditional model of uncertainty, where the uncertainty is characterized by a single distribution function that a decision maker faces, the Knightian-uncertainty approach characterizes it as a set of distributions rather than a single one. Hence, learning in the context of...

When firms decide about irreversible investment, they may not have perfect confidence about their perceived probability measure describing future uncertainty. They may think other probability measures perturbed from the original one are also probable. Uncertainty characterized by not a single...

This paper investigates the nature and magnitude of distortion in land price information publicly available in Japan, especially in the Published Land Price of the Japanese Government. After examining characteristics of various land price information in Japan, we construct hedonic price indexes...