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Slowing growth : more than a rough patch
Kose, M. Ayhan; Ohnsorge, Franziska - 2023
Across the world, a structural growth slowdown is underway: at current trends, the global potential growth rate - the maximum rate at which an economy can grow without igniting inflation - is expected to fall to a three-decade low over the remainder of the 2020s. The slowdown could be even more...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10014282834
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Growing apart or moving together? : synchronization of informal and formal economy cycles
Elgin, Ceyhun; Kose, M. Ayhan; Ohnsorge, Franziska; Yu, Shu - 2021
We study the degree of synchronization between formal- and informal-economy business cycles. Using a comprehensive database of informal activity that covers a wide range of informality measures from almost 160 countries over the 1990-2018 period, we report two major results. First, fluctuations...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012625110
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Why do fiscal multipliers depend on fiscal positions?
Huidrom, Raju; Kose, M. Ayhan; Lim, Jamus Jerome; … - 2019
The fiscal position can affect fiscal multipliers through two channels. Through the Ricardian channel, households reduce consumption in anticipation of future fiscal adjustments when fiscal stimulus is implemented from a weak fiscal position. Through the interest rate channel, fiscal stimulus...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10011986401
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Why do fiscal multipliers depend on fiscal positions?
Huidrom, Raju; Kose, M. Ayhan; Lim, Jamus Jerome; … - 2019
The fiscal position can affect fiscal multipliers through two channels. Through the Ricardian channel, households reduce consumption in anticipation of future fiscal adjustments when fiscal stimulus is implemented from a weak fiscal position. Through the interest rate channel, fiscal stimulus...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012008266
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Growing apart or moving together? : synchronization of informal and formal economy cycles
Elgin, Ceyhun; Kose, M. Ayhan; Ohnsorge, Franziska; Yu, Shu - 2021
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10013367936
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Weakness in investment growth : causes, implications and policy responses
Kose, M. Ayhan; Ohnsorge, Franziska; Ye, Lei; Islamaj, Ergys - 2017
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10011632806
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Weakness in investment growth : causes, implications and policy responses
Kose, M. Ayhan; Ohnsorge, Franziska; Ye, Lei; Islamaj, Ergys - 2017
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10011653078
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Weakness in investment growth : causes, implications and policy responses
Kose, M. Ayhan; Ohnsorge, Franziska; Ye, Lei; Islamaj, Ergys - 2017
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10011748194
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Weakness in investment growth : causes, implications and policy responses
Kose, M. Ayhan; Ohnsorge, Franziska; Ye, Lei; Islamaj, Ergys - 2017
Investment growth in emerging market and developing economies has slowed sharply since 2010. This paper presents a … comprehensive analysis of the causes and implications of this slowdown and presents a menu of policy responses to improve investment …, declining foreign direct investment inflows, elevated private debt burdens, heightened political risk, and adverse spillovers …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10011635504
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After the crisis : lower consumption growth but narrower global imbalances?
Mody, Ashoka; Ohnsorge, Franziska - 2010
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10003949625