We perform simulations to assess the impact of a war between the US and Iran on global oil price behavior. To do so, we evaluate different levels of war intensity and oil price behavior from a multidimensional perspective. In this context, we simulate various scenarios using a simulator which is...

We perform simulations to assess the impact of a war between the US and Iran on global oil price behavior. To do so, we evaluate different levels of war intensity and oil price behavior from a multidimensional perspective. In this context, we simulate various scenarios using a simulator which is...

In this paper, we propose a new model, namely the terrorism-trade and investment diversion simulator (TTID-Simulator). The simulator allows us to analyze the impact of terrorism on trade and investment diversion anywhere and anytime. Our central objective is to use the new model to evaluate the...

We present a new model on the impact of terrorism on the Deglobalization process. The channels are faster poverty expansion, largest flows of refugees, expansion of trade protectionism, and last but not least, the dramatic expansion of economic desgrowth. This new model is entitled “The...

The phenomenon of violence is rooted in the very origins of mankind. According to the research of this book, violence is intrinsically linked to the demand for domination, the search for resources in order to survive (i.e. scarcity of resources), exploitation, power, culture, conflict of...

This paper introduces a new economic model of a wartime economy, the war economic capability model – WEC-Model. The WEC-Model assesses the economic impacts of countries thorough the possible scenario of war in three different stages: (i) initial conflict and diplomatic negotiations; (ii)...

This paper introduces a new economic model to analyzing the effects of a possible terrorist attack. This paper propose the terrorist attack vulnerability Evaluation model (TAVE-Model). The model analyzes the evolution of terrorism in three different phases: (i) origins of a terrorist attack;...

This research work applies the terrorist attack vulnerability evaluation model (TAVEModel) to evaluate the effect of terrorism on the economic performance of Turkey. We examine both the short run and long-run economic impact of terrorist attacks in Turkey. The TAVE-Model applies a number of...

This paper introduces a new economic model of a wartime economy, the war economic capability model — WEC-Model. The WEC-Model assesses the economic impact of an armed conflict in three different stages: (1) initial armed conflict and diplomatic negotiations; (2) military armed conflict; and...

In this paper, we evaluate the economic cost of the Islamic State on the Syrian and Iraqi economies from 2010 to 2016. To do so, we use the Post-Terrorism Final Economic Damage Simulator – PTFED-Simulator. The PTFED-Simulator assesses the economic damage of terrorism based on ten different...