Este artículo examina la evolución de los términos de intercambio entre productos básicos y manufacturas en los años 1900 a 2000. Un análisis estadístico de las series de precios relativos de 24 productos básicos y ocho índices muestra que hubo un deterioro marcado de los términos de...

This paper argues that developing countries’ growth successes and collapses tend to cluster in specific time periods—and that only the existence of a global development cycle can explain this. The cycle reflects the external factors that affect all, or large clusters of developing countries,...

Although the empirical literature is not unanimous about the existence of a continuous long-term deterioration in the terms of trade for commodities (the original and most common formulation of the Prebisch- Singer hypothesis) and, hence, about the possibility of inferring their future behaviour...