In this paper, we apply independent component analysis (ICA) for prediction and signal extraction in multivariate time series data. We compare the performance of three different ICA procedures, JADE, SOBI, and FOTBI that estimate the components exploiting either the non-Gaussianity, or the...

Pattern recognition is one of the major challenges in statistics framework. Its goal is the feature extraction to classify the patterns into categories. A well-known example in this field is the handwritten digit recognition where digits have to be assigned into one of the 10 classes using some...

Common methods for estimating variance components in Linear Mixed Models include Maximum Likelihood (ML) and Restricted Maximum Likelihood (REML). These methods are based on the strong assumption of multivariate normal distribution and it is well know that they are very sensitive to outlying...

The motivation for this paper arises from an article written by Peña et al. [40] in 2010,where they propose the eigenvectors associated with the extreme values of a kurtosismatrix as interesting directions to reveal the possible cluster structure of a dataset. In recent years many research...

In this paper we explore, analyse and apply the change-points detection and location procedures to conditional heteroskedastic processes. We focus on processes that have constant conditional mean, but present a dynamic behavior in the conditional variance and which can also be affected by...

El cálculo de predicciones puntuales junto con su incertidumbre en forma de intervalo es, en la mayoría de aplicaciones, insuficiente. Especialmente cuando estemos asumiendo no linealidad en los datos, puesto que en estos casos, podrían existir incluso cambios en la distribución. Por ello...

This paper proposes an automatic procedure to identify Threshold Autoregressive models and specify the threshold values. The proposed procedure is based on recursive estimation of arranged autoregression. The main advantage of the proposed procedure over its competitors is that the threshold...

This article presents a comparison of four methods to compute the posterior probabilities of the possible orders in polynomial regression models. These posterior probabilities are used for forecasting by using Bayesian model averaging. It is shown that Bayesian model averaging provides a closer...

We show that analyzing model selection in ARMA time series models as a quadratic discrimination problem provides a unifying approach for deriving model selection criteria. Also this approach suggest a different definition of expected likelihood that the one proposed by Akaike. This approach...

In this note we analyze the relationship between one-step ahead prediction errors and interpolation errors in time series. We obtain an expression of the prediction errors in terms of the interpolation errors and then we show that minimizing the sum of squares of the one step-ahead standardized...