Unreliable travel times cause substantial costs to travelers. Nevertheless, they are not taken into account in many cost-benefit-analyses (CBA), or only in very rough ways. This paper aims at providing simple rules on how variability can be predicted, based on travel time data from Dutch...

This paper develops a practical approach to estimate the benefits of improved reliability of road networks. We present a general methodology to estimate the (changes in) scheduling costs due to (changes in) travel time variability for car travel. We focus on situations where only mean delays are...

This paper develops a practical approach to estimate the benefits of improved reliability of road networks. We present a general methodology to estimate the (changes in) scheduling costs due to (changes in) travel time variability for car travel. We focus on situations where only mean delays are...

This paper develops a practical approach to estimate the benefits of improved reliability of road networks. We present a general methodology to estimate the (changes in) scheduling costs due to (changes in) travel time variability for car travel. We focus on situations where only mean delays are...

Limited memory capacity, retrieval constraints and anchoring are central to expectation formation processes. We develop a model of adaptive expectations where individuals are able to store only a finite number of past experiences of a stochastic state variable. Retrieval of these experiences is...

Unreliable travel times cause substantial costs to travelers. Nevertheless, they are not taken into account in many cost-benefit-analyses (CBA), or only in very rough ways. This paper aims at providing simple rules on how variability can be predicted, based on travel time data from Dutch...

We consider equilibrium and optimum use of a Vickrey road bottleneck, distinguishing between long-run and short-run scheduling preferences in an otherwise stylized scheduling model. The preference structure reflects that there is a distinction between the (exogenous) 'long-run preferred arrival...

Unreliable travel times cause substantial costs to travelers. Nevertheless, they are not taken into account in many cost-benefit-analyses (CBA), or only in very rough ways. This paper aims at providing simple rules on how variability can be predicted, based on travel time data from Dutch...