Showing 1 - 10 of 74
This paper considers the problem of testing for structural changes in the trend function of a univariate time series without any prior knowledge as to whether the noise component is stationary or contains an autoregressive unit root. We propose a new approach that builds on the work of Perron...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012912889
This paper considers testing procedures for the null hypothesis of a unit root process against the alternative of a fractional process, called a fractional unit root test. We extend the Lagrange Multiplier (LM) tests of Robinson (1994) and Tanaka (1999), which are locally best invariant and...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10011654059
Perron and Yabu (2008) consider the problem of testing for a break occurring at an unknown date in the trend function of a univariate time series when the noise component can be either stationary or integrated. This paper extends their work by proposing a sequential test that allows one to test...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10014209925
This paper considers econometric issues related to time series data that have been subject to abrupt governmental interventions. The motivating example for this study is the Brazilian monthly inflation and interest rate series (1974:1- 1994:6) which we use throughout for illustration. These...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10014053951
Perron (1989) introduced unit root tests valid when a break at a known date in the trend function of a time series is present, which are invariant to the magnitude of the shift in level and/or slope and to allow them under both the null and alternative hypotheses. The subsequent literature...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10004994225
Recently, there has been an upsurge of interest in the possibility of confusing long memory and structural changes in level. Many studies have shown that when a stationary short memory process is contaminated by level shifts the estimate of the fractional differencing parameter is biased away...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10004994218
Recently, there has been an upsurge of interest on the possibility of confusing long memory and structural changes in level. Many studies have shown that when a stationary short memory process is contaminated by level shifts the estimate of the fractional differencing parameter is biased away...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10004994219
Recently, there has been an upsurge of interest on the possibility of confusing long memory and structural changes in level. Many studies have documented the fact that when a stationary short memory process is contaminated by level shifts the estimate of the fractional differencing parameter is...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10005209377
It is widely known that when there are negative moving average errors, a high order augmented autoregression is necessary for unit root tests to have good size, but that information criteria such as the AIC and BIC tend to select a truncation lag that is very small. Furthermore, size distortions...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10004968824
We propose estimators of the memory parameter of a time series that are robust to a wide variety of random level shift processes, deterministic level shifts and deterministic time trends. The estimators are simple trimmed versions of the popular log-periodogram regression estimator that employ...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10010420260