Showing 1 - 10 of 163
Historically, time series forecasts of economic variables have used only a handful of predictor variables, while forecasts based on a large number of predictors have been the province of judgmental forecasts and large structural econometric models. The past decade, however, has seen considerable...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10014023696
This paper focuses on survey expectations and discusses their uses for testing and modelling of expectations. Alternative models of expectations formation are reviewed and the importance of allowing for heterogeneity of expectations is emphasized. A weak form of the rational expectations...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10014023692
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10003376109
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10003213738
variable is the multi-period ahead value being forecasted. Which approach is better is an empirical matter: in theory, iterated …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10014066268
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10013424599
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10000872012
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10001163111
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10000142719
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10000137149