intervals. Probability forecasts relating to UK output growth and inflation, obtained using a small macroeconometric model, are … presented. We discuss in detail the probability that inflation will fall within the Bank of England's target range and that … insights on the interrelatedness of output growth and inflation outcomes at different horizons. …

intervals. Probability forecasts relating to UK output growth and inflation, obtained using a small macroeconometric model, are … presented. We discuss in detail the probability that inflation will fall within the Bank of England's target range and that … insights on the interrelatedness of output growth and inflation outcomes at different horizons. …

techniques are applied to monthly inflation series of 21 OECD countries and it is found that average forecasting methods in …

techniques are applied to monthly inflation series of 21 OECD countries and it is found that average forecasting methods in …

volatility) can have adverse effects on real output, through excessively high and persistent levels of inflation. Lack of … have also become a drag on real output. In order to promote growth, policies should be devised to control inflation; to …