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models in economics as conditions for balanced growth, arbitrage or solvency, the empirical literature has tended to find … little evidence for them. We argue that this outcome could be due to episodic failure of cointegration, possible two …
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the interactions between public debt and real output growth in a multicountry setting, and the results are compared to … about one third of the long-horizon forecast error variance of output growth, and about one fifth of the long run variance …
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Purchasing Managers Indices (PMIs) for forecasting global (48 countries) growth, and compare forecasts from AugGVAR models with a …
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might be spurious. However, significant evidence of growth convergence is found, a result which is reasonably robust to the … choice of the sample period and country groupings. Non-convergence of log per capita outputs combined with growth convergence …
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Under correlated heterogeneity, the commonly used two-way fixed effects estimator is biased and can lead to misleading inference. This paper proposes a new trimmed mean group (TMG) estimator which is consistent at the irregular rate of n 1/3 even if the time dimension of the panel is as small as...
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