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This paper provides estimates of COVID-19 effective reproduction numbers and explains their evolution for selected European countries since the start of the pandemic taking account of changes in voluntary and government mandated social distancing, incentives to comply, vaccination and the...
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This paper considers a modification of the standard Susceptible-Infected-Recovered (SIR) model of epidemic that allows … on the epidemic and recession curves are investigated and their trade-off is simulated under a number of different social … epidemic curve, but is costly in terms of employment loss. However, if targeted towards individuals most likely to spread the …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012835654
This paper considers a modification of the standard Susceptible-Infected-Recovered (SIR) model of epidemic that allows … on the epidemic and recession curves are investigated and their trade-off is simulated under a number of different social … epidemic curve, but is costly in terms of employment loss. However, if targeted towards individuals most likely to spread the …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012206648
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This paper estimates time-varying COVID-19 reproduction numbers worldwide solely based on the number of reported infected cases, allowing for under-reporting. Estimation is based on a moment condition that can be derived from an agent-based stochastic network model of COVID-19 transmission. The...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012510508
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observations. Our results show that the Covid-19 pandemic will lead to a significant fall in world output that is most likely long …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012293790
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