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China's emergence in the world economy and business cycles in Latin America
Cesa-Bianchi, Ambrogio; Pesaran, M. Hashem; Rebucci, … - 2012
world have altered the transmission mechanism of international business cycles to Latin America. Evidence based on a Global … world shows that the long-term impact of a China GDP shock on the typical Latin American economy has increased by three … associated with a deceleration in China's economic growth in the future for both Latin America and the rest of the world economy …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10009627525
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Social Distancing, Vaccination and Evolution of Covid-19 Transmission Rates in Europe
Chudik, Alexander; Pesaran, M. Hashem; Rebucci, Alessandro - 2022
This paper provides estimates of COVID-19 effective reproduction numbers and explains their evolution for selected European countries since the start of the pandemic taking account of changes in voluntary and government mandated social distancing, incentives to comply, vaccination and the...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10013353366
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Voluntary and Mandatory Social Distancing: Evidence on COVID-19 Exposure Rates from Chinese Provinces and Selected Countries
Chudik, Alexander; Pesaran, M. Hashem; Rebucci, Alessandro - 2020
This paper considers a modification of the standard Susceptible-Infected-Recovered (SIR) model of epidemic that allows for different degrees of compulsory as well as voluntary social distancing. It is shown that the fraction of population that self-isolates varies with the perceived probability...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012208008
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Voluntary and Mandatory Social Distancing : Evidence on COVID-19 Exposure Rates from Chinese Provinces and Selected Countries
Chudik, Alexander - 2020
This paper considers a modification of the standard Susceptible-Infected-Recovered (SIR) model of epidemic that allows for different degrees of compulsory as well as voluntary social distancing. It is shown that the fraction of population that self-isolates varies with the perceived probability...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012835654
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Voluntary and Mandatory Social Distancing : Evidence on COVID-19 Exposure Rates from Chinese Provinces and Selected Countries
Chudik, Alexander - 2020
This paper considers a modification of the standard Susceptible-Infected-Recovered (SIR) model of epidemic that allows for different degrees of compulsory as well as voluntary social distancing. It is shown that the fraction of population that self-isolates varies with the perceived probability...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012836881
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Voluntary and mandatory social distancing : evidence on COVID-19 exposure rates from Chinese provinces and selected countries
Chudik, Alexander; Pesaran, M. Hashem; Rebucci, Alessandro - 2020
This paper considers a modification of the standard Susceptible-Infected-Recovered (SIR) model of epidemic that allows for different degrees of compulsory as well as voluntary social distancing. It is shown that the fraction of population that self-isolates varies with the perceived probability...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012206648
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Social Distancing, Vaccination and Evolution of Covid-19 Transmission Rates in Europe
Chudik, Alexander; Pesaran, M. Hashem; Rebucci, Alessandro - 2022
This paper provides estimates of COVID-19 effective reproduction numbers worldwide and explains their evolution for selected European countries since the start of the pandemic, taking account of changes in voluntary and government-mandated social distancing, incentives to comply, vaccination and...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10013306621
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Social distancing, vaccination and evolution of Covid-19 transmission rates in Europe
Chudik, Alexander; Pesaran, M. Hashem; Rebucci, Alessandro - 2022
This paper provides estimates of COVID-19 effective reproduction numbers and explains their evolution for selected European countries since the start of the pandemic taking account of changes in voluntary and government mandated social distancing, incentives to comply, vaccination and the...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10013202378
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Uncertainty and economic activity : a global perspective
Cesa-Bianchi, Ambrogio; Pesaran, M. Hashem; Rebucci, … - 2014
The 2007-2008 global financial crisis and the subsequent anemic recovery have rekindled academic interest in quantifying the impact of uncertainty on macroeconomic dynamics. This paper studies the interrelation between financial markets volatility and economic activity assuming that both...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10011286232
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Uncertainty and economic activity : a multi-country perspective
Cesa-Bianchi, Ambrogio; Pesaran, M. Hashem; Rebucci, … - 2018
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10011812225