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The role of factor strength and pricing errors for estimation and inference in asset pricing models
Pesaran, M. Hashem; Smith, Ron - 2019
In this paper we are concerned with the role of factor strength and pricing errors in asset pricing models, and their implications for identification and estimation of risk premia. We establish an explicit relationship between the pricing errors and the presence of weak factors that are...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012118575
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Factor strengths, pricing errors, and estimation of risk premia
Pesaran, M. Hashem; Smith, Ron - 2021
This paper examines the implications of pricing errors and factors that are not strong for the Fama-MacBeth two-pass estimator of risk premia and its asymptotic distribution when T is fixed with n → ∞, and when both n and T → ∞, jointly. While the literature just distinguishes strong and...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012486668
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Arbitrage pricing theory, the stochastic discount factor and estimation of risk premia from portfolios
Pesaran, M. Hashem; Smith, Ron - 2021
The arbitrage pricing theory (APT) attributes differences in expected returns to exposure to systematic risk factors, which are typically assumed to be strong. In this paper we consider two aspects of the APT. Firstly we relate the factors in the statistical factor model to a theoretically...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012499632
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Arbitrage Pricing Theory, the Stochastic Discount Factor and Estimation of Risk Premia from Portfolios
Pesaran, M. Hashem; Smith, Ron - 2021
The arbitrage pricing theory (APT) attributes differences in expected returns to exposure to systematic risk factors, which are typically assumed to be strong. In this paper we consider two aspects of the APT. Firstly we relate the factors in the statistical factor model to a theoretically...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10013233142
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Factor Strengths, Pricing Errors, and Estimation of Risk Premia
Pesaran, M. Hashem; Smith, Ron - 2021
This paper examines the implications of pricing errors and factors that are not strong for the Fama-MacBeth two-pass estimator of risk premia and its asymptotic distribution when T is fixed with n → ∞, and when both n and T → ∞, jointly. While the literature just distinguishes strong and...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10013239328
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The Cost Efficiency of UK Debt Management : A Recursive Modelling Approach
Coe, Patrick; Pesaran, M. Hashem; Vahey, Shaun - 2021
This paper presents an empirical analysis of the efficiency of the UK debt management authorities?s (DMA) behaviour from a cost minimisation perspective over the period January 1985 to March 1995. During this period, the maturity structure of the government?s bond portfolio was subject to...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10013321183
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The role of pricing errors in linear asset pricing models with strong, semi-strong, and latent factors
Pesaran, M. Hashem; Smith, Ron - 2023
This paper examines the role of pricing errors in linear factor pricing models, allowing for observed strong and semi-strong factors, and latent weak factors. It focusses on the estimation of ∅k = λk − μk which plays a pivotal role, not only in the estimation of risk premia but also in...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10013549135
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On the volatility and efficiency of stock prices
Pesaran, M. Hashem - 1989
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10000127642
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Oil prices and the global economy : is it different this time around?
Mohaddes, Kamiar; Pesaran, M. Hashem - 2016
The recent plunge in oil prices has brought into question the generally accepted view that lower oil prices are good for the US and the global economy. In this paper, using a quarterly multi-country econometric model, we first show that a fall in oil prices tends relatively quickly to lower...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10011502542
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Uncertainty and economic activity : a global perspective
Cesa-Bianchi, Ambrogio; Pesaran, M. Hashem; Rebucci, … - 2014
volatility and economic activity assuming that both variables are driven by the same set of unobserved common factors and that … these factors affect volatility and economic activity with a time lag of at least a quarter. Under these assumptions, the … paper analytically shows that volatility is forward looking and that the output equation of a typical VAR estimated in the …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10011286232