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Variable selection and inference for multi-period forecasting problems

Pesaran, M. Hashem; Pick, Andreas; Timmermann, Allan - 2009

Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10003814581

Variable selection and inference for multi-period forecasting problems

Pesaran, M. Hashem; Pick, Andreas; Timmermann, Allan - 2009

Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10003851191

Variable selection, estimation and inference for multi-period forecasting problems

Pesaran, M. Hashem; Pick, Andreas; Timmermann, Allan - 2010

Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10003978514

Variable selection and inference for multi-period forecasting problems

Pesaran, M. Hashem; Pick, Andreas; Timmermann, Allan - 2009

direct forecasts when estimation error is a first-order concern, i.e. in small samples and for long forecast horizons …

Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10003807908

Forecast uncertainties in macroeconometric modelling : an application to the UK economy

Garratt, Anthony; Lee, Kevin C.; Pesaran, M. Hashem - 2000

This paper argues that probability forecasts convey information on the uncertainties that surround macroeconomic forecasts in a manner which is straightforward and which is preferable to other alternatives, including the use of confidence intervals. Probability forecasts relating to UK output...