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Identifying global and national output and fiscal policy shocks using a GVAR
Chudik, Alexander; Pesaran, M. Hashem; Mohaddes, Kamiar - 2018
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012672302
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Identifying global and national output and fiscal policy shocks using a GVAR
Chudik, Alexander; Pesaran, M. Hashem; Mohaddes, Kamiar - 2019
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012223662
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Identifying global and national output and fiscal policy shocks usging GVAR
Chudik, Alexander; Pesaran, M. Hashem; Mohaddes, Kamiar - 2019
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012024425
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Identifying global and national output and fiscal policy shocks using a GVAR
Chudik, Alexander; Pesaran, M. Hashem; Mohaddes, Kamiar - 2019
The paper contributes to the growing global VAR (GVAR) literature by showing how global and national shocks can be identified within a GVAR framework. The usefulness of the proposed approach is illustrated in an application to the analysis of the interactions between public debt and real output...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10011956353
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Forecasting random walks under drift instability
Pesaran, M. Hashem; Pick, Andreas - 2008
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10003850869
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Forecasting random walks under drift instability
Pesaran, M. Hashem (contributor); Pick, Andreas (contributor) - 2008
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10003711763
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Forecasting random walks under drift instability
Pesaran, M. Hashem; Pick, Andreas - 2009
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10003816240
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Forecasting Random Walks under Drift Instability
Pesaran, M. Hashem - 2011
This paper considers forecast averaging when the same model is used but estimation is carried out over different … estimation windows. It develops theoretical results for random walks when their drift and/or volatility are subject to one or … more structural breaks. It is shown that compared to using forecasts based on a single estimation window, averaging over …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012714199
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Forecasting Random Walks Under Drift Instability
Pesaran, M. Hashem - 2011
This paper considers forecast averaging when the same model is used but estimation is carried out over different … estimation windows. It develops theoretical results for random walks when their drift and/or volatility are subject to one or … more structural breaks. It is shown that compared to using forecasts based on a single estimation window, averaging over …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012756639
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A counterfactual economic analysis of Covid-19 using a threshold augmented multi-country model
Chudik, Alexander; Mohaddes, Kamiar; Pesaran, M. Hashem; … - In: Journal of international money and finance 119 (2021), pp. 1-26
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10013285015