Showing 1 - 10 of 369
Identifying and dating explosive bubbles when there is periodically collapsing behavior over time has been a major concern in the economics literature and is of great importance for practitioners. The complexity of the nonlinear structure inherent in multiple bubble phenomena within the same...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10013091850
left-tailed tests, the limit theory and test performance are sensitive to the null hypothesis and the model specification …-tailed ADF test repeatedly on a sequence of forward sample recursions. We analyze and compare the limit theory of the sup ADF …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10013092751
This paper provides the limit theory of real time dating algorithms for bubble detection that were suggested in …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10013075934
A number of recently published papers have focused on the problem of testing for a unit root in the case where the driving shocks may be unconditionally heteroskedastic. These papers have, however, assumed that the lag length in the unit root test regression is a deterministic function of the...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10013112718
Identifying and dating explosive bubbles when there is periodically collapsing behavior over time has been a major concern in the economics literature and is of great importance for practitioners. The complexity of the nonlinear structure inherent in multiple bubble phenomena within the same...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10013077110
Spatial units typically vary over many of their characteristics, introducing potential unobserved heterogeneity which invalidates commonly used homoskedasticity conditions. In the presence of unobserved heteroskedasticity, standard methods based on the (quasi-)likelihood function generally...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10014032510
Multivariate continuous time models are now widely used in economics and finance. Empirical applications typically rely on some process of discretization so that the system may be estimated with discrete data. This paper introduces a framework for discretizing linear multivariate continuous time...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10013093983
This paper studies the distribution of the classical t-ratio with data generatedfrom distributions with no nite moments and shows how classical testing is affectedby bimodality. A key condition in generating bimodality is independenceof the observations in the underlying data generating process...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10008911511
left-tailed tests, the limit theory and test performance are sensitive to the null hypothesis and the model specification …-tailed ADF test repeatedly on a sequence of forward sample recursions. We analyze and compare the limit theory of the sup ADF …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10013091851
Recent work on econometric detection mechanisms has shown the effectiveness of recursive procedures in identifying and dating financial bubbles. These procedures are useful as warning alerts in surveillance strategies conducted by central banks and fiscal regulators with real time data. Use of...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10013075940