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the pricing of European-style foreign currency options and for the volatility strike structure implicit in these contracts … is devoloped. The curvature of the volatility strike structure is explained by focusing attention on the expected … characteristic convex shape of volatility strike structures documented in the empirical literature. A volatility-based test for …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10011476532
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10013261076
Models recently studied by Farmer (2012, 2013, 2015) predict that, due to labor-market frictions and "animal spirits", stock-market fluctuations should Granger cause fluctuations of the unemployment rate. We performed several Granger-causality tests on more than half a century of data of German...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10011415821
We compared forecasts of stock market volatility based on real-time and revised macroeconomic data. To this end, we … used a new dataset on monthly real-time macroeconomic variables for Germany. The dataset covers the period 1994-2005. We … used a statistical, a utility-based, and an options-based criterion to evaluate volatility forecasts. Our main result is …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10003315444
structural breaks in the dynamics and the volatility of the real output process in Germany can be detected. We report evidence … that output volatility has declined in Germany. Yet, this decline in output volatility is not as clear-cut as it is in the …Stylized facts suggest that output volatility in OECD countries has declined in recent years. However, the causes and …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10011475861
structural breaks in the dynamics and the volatility of the real output process in Germany can be detected. We report evidence … that output volatility has declined in Germany. Yet, this decline in output volatility is not as clear-cut as it is in the …Stylized facts suggest that output volatility in OECD countries has declined in recent years. However, the causes and …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10010260526
structural breaks in the dynamics and the volatility of the real output process in Germany can be detected. We report evidence … that output volatility has declined in Germany. Yet, this decline in output volatility is not as clear-cut as it is in the …Stylized facts suggest that output volatility in OECD countries has declined in recent years. However, the causes and …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10001712118
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10013261010
volatility depends on the nature of the underlying shock. Empirical evidence supports this conclusion. Our results also show that … the link between business cycle volatility and financial openness has not been stable over time. …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10011475038
volatility depends on the nature of the underlying shock. Empirical evidence supports this conclusion. Our results also show that … the link between business cycle volatility and financial openness has not been stable over time. …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10001685221