leading indicators and time series. In a case study for Germany, we forecast two possible representations of industrial …

-Württemberg) and Eastern Germany. We overcome the problem of a "data-poor environment" at the sub-national level by including more than …

) and Eastern Germany. We overcome the problem of a "data-poor environment" at the sub-national level by complementing …

-Württemberg) and Eastern Germany. We overcome the problem of a "data-poor environment" at the sub-national level by including more than …

production (IP) in Germany. We obtain three sets of results. First, we show that the sentiment-based ifo index performs best in … great moderation” in the US at the end of a minor depression in Germany. Around 2005, oil prices increased from $10 to $60 a …

quarter. Germany would thus formally be in a technical recession. However, the slowdown that began in 2018 has so far been a … that economic momentum in Germany has cooled off more than in many other countries. To some extent, this is due to the fact … weigh particularly on production in Germany. Against this backdrop, exports are likely to pick up only gradually. Private …