The paper develops a tail risk forecasting model that incorporates the wealth of economic and financial information available to risk managers. The approach can be viewed as a regularized extension of the two-stage GARCH-EVT model of McNeil and Frey (2000) where we permit a time-varying...

We design an adaptive framework for the detection of illegal trading behavior. Its keycomponent is an extension of a pattern recognition tool, originating from the field of signalprocessing and adapted to modern electronic systems of securities trading. The new methodcombines the flexibility of...